Capital-Novel
0x7f252b47ffd5de01e1ce98121928d1726e30fd6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$632.82
Total PnL
$-2.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
283 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$281.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
166 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$165.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
128 shares @ 99.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$126.27
$-1.73
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
36 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
25 shares @ 92.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.80
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$36.01May 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$282.06May 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$128.02May 14, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$166.01May 14, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$140.13May 14, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$165.61May 14, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$185.35May 14, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$222.42May 14, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$140.00Apr 21, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$222.00Apr 21, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$185.00Apr 21, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$230.00Apr 21, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$350.67Apr 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$229.54Apr 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$165.00Apr 7, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$350.00Apr 7, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$301.20Apr 7, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$366.43Apr 7, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$300.00Mar 17, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$365.00Mar 17, 04:59 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $188.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 04:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".