Likable-Intellect
0x7f2cf8d7491c729e718d42ff9b4a6f00ce9a48e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-187.23
Realised
$68.93
Win rate
67%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2047 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2028 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.79
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.65May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$0.03May 15, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 95% or higher in the 2026 Maltese general election?$0.04May 15, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?$0.87May 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?$1.33May 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$0.55May 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.38May 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stormers win?$4.57May 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?$7.72May 15, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?$0.21May 15, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.29May 15, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.19May 15, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.17May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.28May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.51May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?$0.23May 15, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?$0.10May 15, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$5.93May 15, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?$0.19May 15, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?$0.15May 15, 11:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 75 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
75 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.