Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
Probability
46¢
1h
-0.7pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$21.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 565.6h
- 10:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 566h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.2pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 48¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (10.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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