Fickle-Roster
0x7f33ada73ba5a22c516dc6ff5fb55e5d860807e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$107.89
Win rate
87%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
562 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
495 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-309.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
441 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-292.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
407 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-31.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
346 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
307 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-194.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
221 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-125.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
214 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-96.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
176 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-96.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
171 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$3.06May 5, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka$0.75May 5, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWuxi: Bernard Tomic vs Alafia Ayeni$0.72May 5, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWuxi: Bernard Tomic vs Alafia Ayeni$1.01May 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Oman$0.70May 5, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLJiujiang: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Heather Watson$1.56May 5, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Heather Watson$1.01May 5, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLJiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere$1.14May 5, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere$1.03May 5, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLJiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere$1.04May 5, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere$1.00May 5, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$5.13May 5, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWuxi: Rio Noguchi vs Petr Bar Biryukov$1.02May 5, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLJiujiang: Elena Micic vs Taylah Preston$0.61May 5, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Elena Micic vs Taylah Preston$1.03May 5, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Jessica Pieri vs Han Shi$1.03May 5, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWuxi: Rio Noguchi vs Petr Bar Biryukov$0.74May 5, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka$1.01May 5, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWuxi: Rio Noguchi vs Petr Bar Biryukov$1.37May 5, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Oman$1.01May 5, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.