Granular-Insurrection
0x7f4b964b29140f4dbb9479b416b72ed05029571a
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.99
Total PnL
$-75.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?
100 shares @ 16.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.99
$-10.74
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
91 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-29.19
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
55 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
29 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?
19 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?$17.701d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 26?$10.00141d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$15.00141d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.06141d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on December 21?$25.11141d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 22?$8.13142d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 21?$10.00142d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$29.19160d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$30.00160d ago
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.77237d ago
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: June$0.00332d ago
- REDEEMWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$0.00341d ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: June$109.34341d ago
- TRADESELLWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$174.58344d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$27.16356d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$25.00356d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$31.96358d ago
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00358d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$5.56443d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$10.00443d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $32.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 564d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
