True-Bathrobe
0x7f50b8100fd00c367d27aacf2ea3ba9bea02bab9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$76.23
Total PnL
$-21.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
32 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$31.57
$6.57
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
30 shares @ 69.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$27.92
$6.92
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
6 shares @ 83.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.76
$0.76
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 45.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.64
$-1.36
- YES
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 35.7¢·now 33.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
21 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.04Jul 4, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.03Jul 4, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: O/U 4.5 AND Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score AND Will France win on 2026-07-04?$2.00Jul 4, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND France to score first vs. Paraguay?$4.99Jul 4, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMMohamed Salah: 1+ goals$5.38Jul 3, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$6.99Jul 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOmar Marmoush: 1+ goals$1.03Jul 3, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5 AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$19.99Jul 3, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMohamed Salah: 1+ goals$5.01Jul 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$2.03Jul 3, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$1.03Jul 3, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$9.88Jul 3, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.08Jul 3, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$5.02Jul 3, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?$3.03Jul 3, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5 AND Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$2.00Jul 3, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$15.04Jul 3, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$4.05Jul 3, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$3.02Jul 2, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5$3.60Jul 2, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.