Blind-Being
0x7f51fe892219f137305b68f29d3189ec26ecd389
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-4.77
Realised
$45.95
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?
1082 shares @ 88.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$107.29
- NO
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
281 shares @ 84.3¢·now 95.8¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$269.03
$32.08
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
177 shares @ 28.3¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$54.87
$4.62
- NO
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
24 shares @ 63.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$18.92
$3.59
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$18.10
$2.10
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?
183 shares @ 5.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$16.05
$5.74
- NO
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$5.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
110 shares @ 7.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.95
$-4.64
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
103 shares @ 6.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.23
$-3.72
- YES
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 19.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$-3.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$3.44Jul 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$18.21Jul 19, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$17.04Jul 19, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?$1.13Jul 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation?$1.16Jul 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?$2.95Jul 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation?$1.19Jul 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?$1.72Jul 17, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?$1.23Jul 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?$1.52Jul 16, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s remarks not air?$2.76Jul 16, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?$1.01Jul 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?$0.02Jul 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?$1.01Jul 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?$1.02Jul 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation?$1.01Jul 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation?$1.01Jul 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" during Speech to the Nation?$5.03Jul 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s remarks not air?$2.75Jul 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?$1.41Jul 16, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 01:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.