Alive-Cleaner
0x7f5ba66cdaa0d30dc395b67ec6292aed8b1cb993
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
141
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$-205.15
Win rate
24%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2657 shares @ 78.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$295.33
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
397 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$396.66
$48.71
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
702 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$354.58
$-10.53
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
186 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$186.30
$13.04
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
590 shares @ 41.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$109.06
$-132.96
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
52 shares @ 87.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$39.91
$-5.48
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
37 shares @ 55.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.09
$9.78
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
28 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.69
$2.77
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
365 shares @ 19.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$27.34
$-41.93
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
75 shares @ 90.0¢·now 35.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.62
$-41.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$0.13Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.65Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.42Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$8.46Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.14Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$10.81Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?$13.55Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$13.57Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$16.10Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?$23.87Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$23.95Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$84.67Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$116.08Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$601.60Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.23Feb 7, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$6.09Feb 7, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$6.45Feb 7, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $7.21Feb 7, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$16.95Feb 7, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$19.70Feb 7, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.