Abandoned-Lotion
0x7f62fb85709b80546cca76c4bd67e7d721b086d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$40.97
Total PnL
$-817.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on June 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.89
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 23?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.09
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$6.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 23?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$6.19
$-0.01
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
705 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-183.30
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
410 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
350 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-141.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
175 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-80.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
170 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-38.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?$7.31Jun 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 23?$9.10Jun 22, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on June 23?$9.90Jun 22, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 22?$6.40Jun 22, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?$7.30Jun 22, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 22?$9.40Jun 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 23?$6.20Jun 22, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on June 19?$7.81Jun 19, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 18?$10.03Jun 18, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 18?$9.23Jun 18, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 18?$8.02Jun 18, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 18?$6.11Jun 18, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on June 18?$9.51Jun 18, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on June 19?$7.80Jun 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 18?$6.10Jun 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 18?$10.00Jun 18, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 17?$8.31Jun 17, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?$8.41Jun 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on June 18?$9.50Jun 17, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 18?$9.20Jun 17, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $28.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.