Extroverted-Maniac
0x7f639719fb1c33b3ed7ad1a3a994108b74b5ff9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$88.60
Total PnL
$-1.93
Realised
$-0.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?
100 shares @ 72.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$73.71
$1.72
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.76
$0.76
- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
10 shares @ 12.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.15
$-0.14
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$71.99Jun 3, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 3, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$5.04Jun 3, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.05Jun 3, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.63Jun 3, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.03Jun 3, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.03Jun 3, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.08Jun 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$89.89Jun 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$36.00May 31, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$35.14May 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$71.00Apr 30, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$60.00Apr 30, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$29.27Apr 30, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 29, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$103.20Apr 27, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 3, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $33.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".