Open-Pompom-Fantasy
0x7f6d2d8d9f46cc6cefcd615969021234efa86e2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$5.78
Total PnL
$-259.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
2001 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- M80
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BASEMENT BOBS
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage
303 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
110 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
83 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.89
- MYTH ESPORTS
LoL: Myth Esports vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$40.00Jul 4, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$2.06Jul 3, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?$14.71Jul 3, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?$5.10Jul 3, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$5.11Jul 3, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 3, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$21.74Jun 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$10.16Jun 30, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$1.99Jun 29, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$20.31Jun 29, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$5.14Jun 29, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$25.86Jun 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?$10.16Jun 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$15.19Jun 28, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$10.11Jun 27, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5)$15.24Jun 27, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$32.26Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$4.10Jun 26, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$20.23Jun 26, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$1.02Jun 25, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $10.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 10:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.