Miserly-Ferryboat
0x7f7cae184af8aa8070283cd11b34940a086b17dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$7.55
Total PnL
$-291.90
Realised
$2.52
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$-2.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.32
$-2.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Our Party win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 21 at 5PM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.47May 22, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.52Apr 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.62Apr 2, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8AM ET$1.23Apr 2, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.24Apr 2, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.44Apr 2, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".