Attached-Substance
0x7f7f564919d75c31f2b489cb434e222ab2d44d3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-273.24
Realised
$-10.71
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
600 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
282 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
133 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
128 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?
98 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
90 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
37 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-24?$2.60Jun 24, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$92.30Jun 23, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$10.52May 3, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$33.08May 3, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$10.39May 3, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$10.40May 3, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$51.31May 3, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$10.48May 3, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$40.74May 3, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$10.38May 3, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$10.33May 3, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$10.40May 3, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$41.10May 3, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$30.58May 3, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$10.46May 3, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$10.48May 3, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$43.48May 3, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$20.78May 3, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$10.66May 3, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$10.68May 3, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $16.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.