Nonstop-Image
0x7f8d10f774c5794e5ec42681d4f81bb3aafc4a45
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$117.77
Total PnL
$-2.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
40 shares @ 15.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.00
$16.80
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.78
$3.98
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
20 shares @ 49.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.90
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.05
$-3.45
- YES
Will Serena Williams be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
885 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$6.19
$5.31
- ATLANTA BRAVES
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$4.75
$-0.85
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.53
$0.72
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 8.4¢·now 18.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.83
$0.33
- INDIANA FEVER
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$3.58
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers$0.00Jun 27, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers$2.95Jun 27, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever$3.55Jun 27, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5$2.58Jun 27, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5$5.00Jun 27, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5$0.00Jun 27, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays$2.80Jun 27, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers$2.75Jun 27, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5$2.70Jun 27, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5$2.40Jun 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$9.10Jun 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5$2.55Jun 27, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.82Jun 27, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?$4.70Jun 27, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jun 27, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$0.86Jun 27, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be in the Burnham cabinet?$0.29Jun 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.34Jun 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$0.21Jun 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 27, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.