Functional-Integration
0x7f8fe2e88d8eb327611402e39349f003fc54aefa
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$164.40
Total PnL
$-13.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?
171 shares @ 96.2¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$161.64
$-2.65
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
194 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.42
$0.29
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.34
$-3.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
62 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
36 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
24 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?$5.79Jun 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?$45.21Jun 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?$45.21Jun 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?$27.90Jun 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?$40.27Jun 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$0.18Jun 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$0.24Jun 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$1.72Jun 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$3.82Jun 8, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?$38.00Jun 4, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$114.00Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?$37.20Jun 2, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.21May 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$5.41May 25, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?$2.02May 25, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 23?$29.00May 24, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$29.00May 23, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 23?$28.42May 22, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$2.03May 21, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$57.00May 20, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $21.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.