Yearly-Cigarette
0x7f90dca5b53f653d125caae257f0aa7a8a9d9968
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$331.80
Total PnL
$1.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
121 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$120.82
$0.18
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$102.23
$2.23
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
101 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$98.79
$-1.21
- NO
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 24, 2026$9.96
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$120.66May 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$9.90May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$100.05May 16, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China in 2026?$117.49May 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$100.00May 6, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$41.20May 2, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?$28.37May 2, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$41.82May 2, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$50.00May 2, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?$52.01May 2, 08:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 24, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $60.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".