Our-Obedience
0x7fa6c6474e20e9f6ce388847be32611667e216f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-259.12
Realised
$10.12
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?
1187 shares @ 74.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$694.21
$-187.32
- YES
Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?
245 shares @ 92.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$224.18
$-2.70
- YES
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
279 shares @ 80.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$216.22
$-7.96
- YES
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?
427 shares @ 44.1¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$160.21
$-28.33
- NO
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
99 shares @ 88.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$86.71
$-1.12
- YES
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
113 shares @ 91.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$79.36
$-23.96
- YES
Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?
402 shares @ 16.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$62.38
$-3.62
- YES
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?
155 shares @ 38.2¢·now 29.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$45.77
$-13.45
- NO
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
35 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$30.67
$-0.52
- YES
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
21 shares @ 32.3¢·now 31.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$6.40
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?$17.02Jul 29, 12:33 UTC
- REWARD$1.20Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$564.98Jul 28, 16:44 UTC
- REWARD$1.87Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?$0.00Jul 27, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?$4.59Jul 27, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zendaya appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$22.00Jul 27, 09:12 UTC
- REWARD$7.33Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$0.00Jul 26, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?$419.15Jul 26, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?$9.90Jul 26, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$2.50Jul 26, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$2.75Jul 26, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$3.00Jul 26, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$5.41Jul 26, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$15.00Jul 26, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$14.00Jul 26, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$12.00Jul 26, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$9.00Jul 26, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?$5.00Jul 26, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $66.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.