Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
Probability
47¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$797.81
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 8146h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 8146.5h
- 13:32SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 8146h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 47¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 47¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 46¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 46¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 46¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list. The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Mar 31, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).