Far-Flung-Dungeon
0x7fb16e5b668557da88a2c271c30212a3c7afe96b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$8.08
Total PnL
$-174.85
Realised
$2.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
713 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
495 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.85
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
237 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
147 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2.50Jun 24, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.06Jun 24, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.07Jun 24, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$4.17Jun 24, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.05Jun 24, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$2.50Jun 24, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.61Jun 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.06Jun 24, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.03Jun 24, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.85Jun 24, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.06Jun 24, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.06Jun 24, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.