Harmful-Umbrella
0x7fb227ff98dc57a7654b33b20c7ef1764eafcb9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-526.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2294 shares @ 21.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$493.24
$-6.76
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
2455 shares @ 20.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$429.65
$-70.35
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
965 shares @ 31.1¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$222.01
$-77.99
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
238 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.24
$20.24
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
238 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.24
$20.24
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
203 shares @ 85.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$202.28
$28.28
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
290 shares @ 68.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$161.17
$-38.83
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?
462 shares @ 21.6¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$145.57
$45.57
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.50
$-12.50
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$127.08
$27.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?$103.13Jul 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$102.06Jul 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$202.49Jul 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$100.00Jul 27, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$100.00Jul 27, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$101.52Jul 26, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$100.00Jul 25, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 25, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$100.00Jul 25, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$255.02Jul 25, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$100.00Jul 24, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$100.00Jul 24, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 24, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$103.76Jul 24, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$100.24Jul 24, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$100.00Jul 23, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$100.00Jul 23, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$100.00Jul 23, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$100.80Jul 23, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.4KJul 23, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $119.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.