Serene-Hunting
0x8009f98feaa87483abb78aba599b594cea3fb46c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$57.50
Total PnL
$-38.69
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
58 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$57.50
$0.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
692 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
386 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 6?
290 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
266 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
265 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.75
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 10?
220 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 15 at 5 PM ET?
210 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?$6.00Mar 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?$8.40Mar 27, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.08Mar 26, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$3.84Mar 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$4.23Mar 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.75Nov 22, 19:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$62.31Oct 29, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$69.30Oct 29, 13:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 29, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 28, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 27, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 26, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 25, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$119.76Oct 24, 14:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 24, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$68.95Oct 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 10?$2.64Oct 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$10.00Sep 27, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 6?$4.06Aug 4, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $153.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.