Mature-Anticipation
0x80493d38342865af55d99ace45011cd2101a05ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$1.62Aug 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$1.92Aug 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?$0.75Aug 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$93.67Aug 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$93.90Aug 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?$0.03Aug 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?$0.07Aug 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?$0.96Aug 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$0.40Aug 14, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 3 - August 9?$6.00Aug 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.56Aug 14, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.02Aug 14, 12:57 UTC
- REWARD$1.97May 23, 00:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.90May 22, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.83May 22, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.16May 22, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$19.36May 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$15.20May 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$2.30May 21, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$17.50May 21, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $55.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.