Optimistic-Wallet
0x804a086544735e33c23b7dff3f06c9821f3fe586
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.94
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
273 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
162 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
128 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
93 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
80 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
80 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.75May 12, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.05May 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.09May 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.08May 9, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.05May 9, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.25May 8, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.85May 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.08May 7, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.05May 7, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.92May 7, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.00May 6, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.69May 6, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.12May 6, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.05May 5, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.05May 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.04May 5, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.03May 5, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.03May 5, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00May 5, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.05May 5, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.