Tiny-Drum
0x804eeb72e9c2f651013302df201a31a500e818b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$53.76
Total PnL
$-14.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
25 shares @ 88.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.50
$0.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 17.8¢·now 24.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1 shares @ 88.7¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$1.01Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$1.01Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.11May 16, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.