Athletic-Emu
0x8054afce89d2c10706dea5bc425e3003589926c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$175.63
Total PnL
$-40.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 14?
176 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$175.63
$2.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 27?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?
199 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
197 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
122 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?
113 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Arthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?
111 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 29?
106 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?
92 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 26?$2.00Apr 25, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on January 30?$0.00Apr 25, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 15?$1.84Apr 15, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 14?$172.81Apr 14, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 27?$0.00Apr 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 12?$2.66Apr 11, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.40 on March 28?$159.13Apr 6, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYArthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?$3.66Mar 31, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 21?$0.00Mar 31, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31?$1.69Mar 30, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 27?$0.00Mar 30, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 on March 28?$0.14Mar 29, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 on March 28?$0.24Mar 29, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 on March 28?$156.21Mar 29, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 28?$155.27Mar 29, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$4.90Mar 28, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 28?$0.01Mar 28, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 28?$0.26Mar 28, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 28?$152.83Mar 28, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 25, 4PM ET$174.74Mar 26, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $41.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 22:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.