Well-Off-Drudgery
0x806d1f6a3eb218e8035bae586a93e86a2b0eec14
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$140.14
Total PnL
$-603.06
Realised
$-244.51
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 10 2026?
140 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$140.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 3?
671 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9?
625 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 27?
533 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 1?
509 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 16-22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 26?
500 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-132.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 10 2026?$140.01Aug 11, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$140.14Aug 11, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$140.01Jul 10, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$9.85Jul 10, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage$7.92Jun 26, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on May 31?$14.90Jun 26, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$127.13Jun 26, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$127.00Jun 1, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage$4.26Jun 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$10.47Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$121.36Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$121.00May 31, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$121.12May 31, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$121.01May 30, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on May 31?$14.89May 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Finland$5.06May 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$13.51May 30, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$127.51May 30, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$127.39May 29, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$13.50May 29, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
28/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $96.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.