Unaware-Sturgeon
0x807ccea75c5f34b63728794f42fde9cb3ac6f1e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$153.78
Total PnL
$-75.34
Realised
$-72.12
Win rate
18%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 16.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.50
$-1.31
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 13.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.50
$-0.15
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
104 shares @ 12.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.98
$0.03
- YES
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
150 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.75
$-0.25
- YES
Glean IPO before 2027?
130 shares @ 10.2¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.72
$-1.57
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?
88 shares @ 12.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.95
$-0.35
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
80 shares @ 11.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.00
$1.11
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.72
$-0.28
- YES
WHOOP IPO before 2027?
57 shares @ 17.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.70
$-0.50
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
108 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.15
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$2.07Jul 29, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$3.11Jul 29, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWHOOP IPO before 2027?$0.85Jul 29, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$8.30Jul 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$11.61Jul 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$2.00Jul 29, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$0.59Jul 29, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$8.80Jul 29, 07:58 UTC
- REWARD$7.54Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$5.00Jul 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$8.57Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMistral AI IPO before 2027?$1.25Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWHOOP IPO before 2027?$0.35Jul 28, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$8.89Jul 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMistral AI IPO before 2027?$1.30Jul 28, 03:43 UTC
- REWARD$8.17Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$8.00Jul 27, 12:46 UTC
- REWARD$8.60Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?$6.81Jul 26, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?$4.80Jul 26, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.