Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $2.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5977.3h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.
Biggest hourly move: +3.5pp at 2d ago (to 11¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 11¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
12- 39¢+2.5pp
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
AI · Vol $3.87
- 12¢-0.5pp
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
AI · Vol $0.00
- 16¢-3.0pp
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
AI · Vol $0.00
- 19¢-0.5pp
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
AI · Vol $0.00
- 13¢0.0pp
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?
AI · Vol $0.00
- 20¢0.0pp
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
AI · Vol $0.00
- 16¢0.0pp
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
AI · Vol $0.00
- 39¢-0.5pp
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?
AI · Vol $0.00
- 8¢-4.0pp
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI · Vol $241.7K
- 92¢+5.0pp
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI · Vol $141.7K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI · Vol $124.6K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI · Vol $103.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PMTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.