Yummy-Highlight
0x80800ec55b22085ddea78bb396926989fbcc39d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$262.44
Total PnL
$-2.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?
58 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$54.81
$-0.29
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
54 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$52.84
$-0.03
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
55 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.97
$0.27
- NO
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?
54 shares @ 98.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.49
$-1.59
- NO
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
54 shares @ 96.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.33
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?$52.87Jul 24, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$52.27Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.84Jul 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$51.70Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$0.56Jul 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$29.88Jul 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$22.35Jul 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?$26.23Jul 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?$26.03Jul 3, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.49Jul 3, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$51.94Jul 3, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$33.70Jul 1, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?$51.89Jun 27, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$33.60Jun 27, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$49.94Jun 23, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?$55.10Jun 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$51.48Jun 17, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?$7.90Jun 17, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?$44.41Jun 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$1.78Jun 16, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $37.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.