Ashamed-Complexity
0x808720942c2faff6e6377dc63fea5c42bc63abb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$225.50
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-59.07
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.50
$11.50
- YES
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
50 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$43.00
$4.50
- YES
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
50 shares @ 57.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$42.00
$13.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
238 shares @ 38.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.87
$-72.68
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.00
$-11.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$-4.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.13
$-9.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
60 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$7.704h ago
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$30.806h ago
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$28.508h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?$5.008h ago
- REDEEMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?$5.008h ago
- REDEEMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$5.008h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$74.928h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.6218d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.1118d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$9.5018d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.2618d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.7018d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.3718d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.6018d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.0919d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.2419d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.0419d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.3919d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.6819d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.0319d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 29d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
