Sane-Pan
0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$81.89
Realised
$19.20
Win rate
65%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
226 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$223.36
$0.35
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$170.70
$70.70
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
159 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$158.92
$1.06
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 70.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$124.69
$36.99
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
118 shares @ 92.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$117.05
$8.07
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
117 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$116.33
$4.77
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
96 shares @ 62.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.60
$24.94
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 27.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$82.50
$15.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
61 shares @ 87.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$59.50
$6.44
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
73 shares @ 66.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.52
$8.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$4.82Jun 14, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.60Jun 14, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.59Jun 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jun 14, 04:31 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$200.00Jun 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$16.37Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$15.61Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$3.59Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$0.52Jun 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.28Jun 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.05Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.01Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.01Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.01Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.01Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.09Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.02Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.