Winged-Winner
0x809ffaa31b9c83ae157a10357f5279a21c12c54e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.16
Total PnL
$-42.79
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$0.03
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 18?
4200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 29?
1092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 13?
1080 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?
1075 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 10?
1073 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 27?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$2.12May 24, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 16?$2.13May 16, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 8?$2.13May 8, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 30?$1.1KMay 1, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 30?$1.1KMay 1, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 30?$1.1KApr 30, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 30?$1.1KApr 30, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 29?$1.1KApr 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 29?$1.1KApr 29, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 28?$1.1KApr 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 28?$1.1KApr 28, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?$1.1KApr 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?$1.1KApr 27, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 26?$1.1KApr 27, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 26?$1.1KApr 26, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$2.18Apr 20, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.03Apr 13, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?$2.14Apr 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 29?$2.18Mar 29, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 10?$3.22Mar 10, 05:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $335.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.