0x80a5ad1f1759021248e2039f78b7a18f8ac1c7dd
0x80a5ad1f1759021248e2039f78b7a18f8ac1c7dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.54
Total PnL
$-29.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.54
$3.54
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10?
9200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
3023 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.68
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
147 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
13 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$1.00Jan 25, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$5.56Jan 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$5.00Jan 15, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China in 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$2.50Jan 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$4.18Jan 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10?$9.20Jan 10, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.