Plump-Polarisation
0x80aea1f375fae0caff63037f746b05eefa521b05
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$149.93
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
SK Poltava vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Draw at halftime?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.99
$0.01
- HAMBURGER SV
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.99
$0.01
- YES
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Score
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.99
$0.01
- YES
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-16?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.99
$0.01
- TEAM WE
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.99
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 16?$25.00May 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Score$24.98May 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?$24.98May 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sydney FC win on 2026-05-16?$24.98May 16, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)$24.98May 16, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 0 Gwangju FC?$3.82May 16, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSK Poltava vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Draw at halftime?$24.98May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 16?$24.98May 16, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner$24.98May 16, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMKBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz$25.00May 16, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz$22.37May 16, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz$2.61May 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 0 Gwangju FC?$3.82May 16, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Renofa Yamaguchi FC win on 2026-05-16?$25.00May 16, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sagan Tosu vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC end in a draw?$25.00May 16, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)$25.00May 16, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)$24.98May 16, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sagan Tosu vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC end in a draw?$24.98May 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renofa Yamaguchi FC win on 2026-05-16?$24.98May 16, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$25.00May 16, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $23.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".