Safe-Jewelry
0x80c045172058d32740ac2887970188ba6b2eed95
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$65.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
273380 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.3K
$-4.5K
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
22433 shares @ 11.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$661.78
$-1.8K
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
8823 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$273.50
$-1.2K
- YES
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
442 shares @ 15.3¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$172.45
$104.82
- YES
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
682 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.68
$-44.32
- YES
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
43929 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-116.94
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
5545 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-799.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
3036 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
2788 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-499.74
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
2222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.48Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $258.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.