Spicy-Soybean-Hovercraft
0x80d5b43c0c547eae983277b9e91a4f999cfea77d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$22.75
Total PnL
$-40.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- MH MACCABI TEL AVIV
Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)
14 shares @ 31.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$3.37
$-1.13
- YES
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?
6 shares @ 48.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
9 shares @ 32.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$2.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$1.76
$-0.24
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$1.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.49
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
12 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.44
$-0.06
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?$1.64Aug 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?$1.03Aug 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 3?$1.04Aug 3, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 3?$1.04Aug 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)$1.56Aug 3, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in August?$1.03Aug 3, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$0.93Aug 3, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?$1.72Aug 3, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Leeds United: Both Teams to Score$1.03Aug 2, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.92Aug 2, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$2.00Aug 2, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.13Aug 2, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.56Aug 2, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Leeds United: Both Teams to Score$1.04Aug 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)$1.04Aug 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?$4.07Aug 2, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)$1.03Aug 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.04Aug 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.03Aug 2, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.03Aug 2, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.