Rubbery-Airfield
0x80d9c655b548beb30c97b2b5f2c8d07be35a49c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$6.52
Total PnL
$-68.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.48
$0.21
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 8?
4271 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 12?
2149 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27?
2144 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.58
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?
2114 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?
2089 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.27
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 6?
2089 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?
2058 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?
1833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?$6.33Aug 1, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?$7.17Jul 31, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?$7.11Jul 30, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?$6.32Jul 23, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$13.80Jul 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$13.67Jul 13, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$14.57Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$14.54Jul 8, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?$12.84Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?$12.79Jul 2, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.45Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of June?$5.45Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.44Jun 25, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of June?$5.43Jun 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $230?$5.72Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $230?$5.70Jun 12, 08:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.68Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$6.02Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$6.00May 26, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $380.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.