Honorable-Flame
0x81058a331ee685f0b9d48a2cd8edb5b8677fbe0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$54.03
Total PnL
$-334.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
32 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$32.02
$0.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
22 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$22.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
129 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
120 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
120 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
120 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
110 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
110 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-43.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
100 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-48.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
100 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$32.00Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$22.00Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11?$30.03Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11?$30.00Jun 11, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?$18.04Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$25.02Jun 3, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?$18.00Jun 3, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$25.00Jun 3, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$100.00Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$77.73Jun 2, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$9.15Jun 2, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$0.75Jun 2, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$26.03Jun 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$27.11Jun 1, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$20.14Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?$14.07Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?$19.02Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$27.00May 31, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$26.00May 31, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?$14.00May 31, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $15.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.