Hearty-Hubris
0x8117345e10a929986ada4bf99307a534412bd501
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$203.25
Total PnL
$-93.76
Realised
$-4.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$100.00
$26.00
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
100 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$100.00
$35.00
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.05
$-5.95
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.20
$-7.80
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
99 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.95
- PIASTRI
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Piastri?
44 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-33.19
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$0.00Mar 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Piastri?$0.06Mar 15, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Piastri?$37.36Mar 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$35.00Mar 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$32.03Mar 15, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$65.00Mar 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Leclerc?$24.98Mar 8, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?$29.97Mar 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$90.00Mar 8, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$59.93Mar 8, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$5.13Mar 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$13.29Mar 8, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$11.71Mar 8, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$11.94Mar 8, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$6.52Mar 8, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$2.80Mar 8, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$99.70Mar 8, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?$19.00Mar 7, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?$18.00Mar 7, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Leclerc?$6.50Mar 7, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $25.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.