0x814bd8b9186365081fd53c6504f2bffe492af74b
0x814bd8b9186365081fd53c6504f2bffe492af74b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.10
Total PnL
$-27.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
214 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.79
$1.29
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.49
$-0.01
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 18.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.32
$-0.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
418 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- UP
BNB Up or Down - April 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
405 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.05
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
139 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
139 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?
43 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?
36 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54May 23, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 23?$1.50May 23, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on May 22?$1.50May 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on May 22?$1.50May 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 23?$1.50May 21, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on May 17?$1.50May 20, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$1.51May 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54May 19, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54May 19, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54May 19, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$1.50May 17, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on May 17?$1.50May 17, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 17?$1.50May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 17?$1.50May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 17?$3.00May 17, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 17?$1.50May 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 17?$1.50May 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 17?$1.50May 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?$1.56May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?$1.56May 17, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 14:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.