Giddy-Sweat
0x814d21413284461cc79fb5a8847418b5f0cc337e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$35.75
Total PnL
$-611.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
82 shares @ 34.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.40
$0.40
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
36 shares @ 32.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.16
$-7.49
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
110 shares @ 27.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.13
$-26.89
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.05
$-3.33
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
552 shares @ 91.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-505.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
262 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
36 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.36
- YES
Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$28.00May 27, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$19.83May 27, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$18.38May 5, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$240.00Apr 30, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$14.04Mar 1, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,225-$5,350 in February?$14.04Feb 28, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Feb 27, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$13.71Feb 27, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,100-$5,225 in February?$13.71Feb 27, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,225-$5,350 in February?$8.00Feb 27, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$8.00Feb 27, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$492.19Feb 26, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?$500.00Feb 26, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$15.00Feb 26, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.0KFeb 26, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.38Feb 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.38Feb 23, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$946.76Feb 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,100-$5,225 in February?$26.71Feb 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $120 in February?$0.50Feb 23, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $59.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".