Verifiable-Lumber
0x81535f5fc28aafb790fc1995caf27ab9b98003a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$79.70
Total PnL
$-426.28
Realised
$-1.92
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?
19 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$19.06
$11.06
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.00
$9.00
- YES
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
11 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.89
$6.21
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.42
$5.42
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$8.20
$7.20
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
7 shares @ 70.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.11
$2.11
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$6.67
$5.67
- YES
Will Solana reach $90 in April?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.08
$1.14
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.28
$0.28
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
14043 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-105.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$17.19Apr 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 8, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$60.88Apr 8, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.70Apr 8, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$7.00Apr 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$10.04Apr 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.00Apr 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.17Apr 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$33.36Apr 8, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$1.00Apr 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?$3.00Apr 8, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?$4.00Apr 8, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$12.00Apr 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$9.36Apr 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$25.00Apr 8, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$16.00Apr 8, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$16.00Apr 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$4.82Apr 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.