Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-8.0pp
24h Vol
$873.05
Liquidity
$13.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 116.7h
- 03:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 117h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 14¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 14¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 14¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 14¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 14¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 14¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 13¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 13¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 13¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 17¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 15¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 16¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 19¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).