Courageous-Pimple
0x8191d22ea17640f2c5201c52737074a6093c3868
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$417.87
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2106 shares @ 81.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$224.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1244 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$889.45
$6.22
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
800 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$799.60
$56.80
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2727 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$309.57
$-1.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?
305 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$294.61
$-3.20
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
803 shares @ 18.3¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$146.50
$-0.40
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
81 shares @ 75.6¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$61.11
$-0.37
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 91.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$51.58
$0.03
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
170 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
57 shares @ 91.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$50.89
$-0.76
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.33May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.25May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.12May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$4.92May 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$118.18May 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$5.10May 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$49.15May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$10.42May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$150.50May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.08May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$42.51May 18, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.40May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$19.69May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$103.27May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$12.30May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$8.10May 18, 02:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.61May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$8.55May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$105.00May 17, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $52.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".