Outlandish-Mantel
0x81962d4b60e570db68de998ae77a35d07822ab69
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$493.34
Total PnL
$163.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
550 shares @ 18.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$272.25
$173.25
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 60.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$168.00
$48.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
400 shares @ 24.3¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$44.60
$-52.60
- YES
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
22 shares @ 64.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.50
$-5.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$4.97Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$97.20Jun 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.94Jun 14, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.00Jun 14, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$5.00Jun 14, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$0.02Jun 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$0.02Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$348.52Jun 13, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Jun 13, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$129.98Jun 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$21.21Jun 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$199.59Jun 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.63Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$4.68Jun 12, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $29.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.