Canine-Beanie
0x81a11e9486342b45160bd5ae89efec345c7b1372
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$709.72
Total PnL
$81.89
Realised
$25.27
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?
310 shares @ 29.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$187.28
$97.61
- NO
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?
195 shares @ 34.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$118.07
$51.20
- NO
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
182 shares @ 33.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$55.40
$-4.74
- NO
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?
61 shares @ 45.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$53.49
$25.82
- NO
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
91 shares @ 35.5¢·now 49.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$44.82
$12.31
- YES
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
149 shares @ 27.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$39.41
$-0.89
- NO
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
146 shares @ 20.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$38.02
$8.77
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
113 shares @ 17.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$29.81
$9.81
- YES
Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$25.96
$10.96
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
222 shares @ 18.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$23.30
$-16.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$9.14Jul 28, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$10.18Jul 28, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$19.88Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$20.12Jul 27, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.32Jul 27, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.34Jul 26, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$22.48Jul 26, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$5.15Jul 25, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$2.05Jul 25, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$19.49Jul 25, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$15.41Jul 24, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$15.41Jul 24, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$10.51Jul 24, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$5.71Jul 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$20.01Jul 24, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$29.45Jul 24, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$11.65Jul 24, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$22.21Jul 24, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$71.14Jul 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?$29.84Jul 24, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.