Bustling-Hello
0x81b3c7b8db42be3aed6362401124f3040bc1d1a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.32
Total PnL
$-20.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
38 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.10
$-2.10
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$-8.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?
214 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
132 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?
107 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?
11 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?$3.62May 20, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$3.13May 20, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$3.01May 20, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$3.64May 20, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$3.60May 20, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.61May 19, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00May 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.07May 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.04May 14, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$6.06May 14, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$6.00May 14, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.21May 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.22May 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$4.36May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$4.18May 13, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.00May 10, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$30.49May 10, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00May 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.14May 10, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$12.50May 10, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $7.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 16:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.