Hairy-Mutation
0x81b4a7abd14b87190a83b231b36361bc5c05a888
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-313.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?
1252 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
489 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.80
- YES
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?
429 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.57
- YES
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
352 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.72
- YES
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?
194 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-19.31
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
176 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-38.82
- YES
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?
113 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
78 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.80
- YES
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash in 2025?$1.57Nov 18, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$2.37Nov 8, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$3.20Nov 8, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$5.00Oct 16, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Oct 13, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$0.00Oct 13, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$0.00Oct 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$5.29Oct 9, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Don't Take Tylenol" in October?$10.29Oct 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greta" or "Thunberg" in October?$5.00Oct 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Don't Take Tylenol" in October?$5.00Oct 2, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "N Word" in October?$3.10Oct 2, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$13.10Oct 2, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$7.97Oct 1, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$2.97Oct 1, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes 3 different countries by September 30?$0.00Oct 1, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMQatar strike on Israel by September 30?$0.00Oct 1, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Gulf State by September 30?$0.00Oct 1, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$5.81Sep 30, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $10.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.