Infinite-Vein
0x81ba866d1e0d6f92121b858b7d3fd4be634db311
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$280.96
Total PnL
$-986.77
Realised
$29.96
Win rate
65%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
490 shares @ 46.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.55
$-31.85
- YES
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
597 shares @ 74.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$83.58
$-358.20
- YES
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
65 shares @ 51.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.25
$-29.90
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.34
$-0.20
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1 shares @ 51.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.29
- YES
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
63 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.03
$-33.60
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
668 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-407.48
- YES
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
483 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-68.10
- YES
Will Senor Tilt be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
142 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-11.36
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2025?
89 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.00May 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00May 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00May 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00May 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ja Morant be traded this season?$4.00May 20, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$253.00May 20, 09:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 31, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 30, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 29, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 28, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 27, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 26, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 23, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 21, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 20, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 19, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.