Icy-Wasabi
0x81bec470bca422418d7cf06182cb417a2ee5a441
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$348.29
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-793.93
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?
197 shares @ 28.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$170.41
$113.63
- NO
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
72 shares @ 44.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.57
$10.89
- NO
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 67.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.34
$7.48
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
58 shares @ 51.0¢·now 35.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.73
$-8.85
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 75.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.14
$3.45
- YES
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?
109 shares @ 65.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.07
$-52.15
- NO
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.03
$2.27
- NO
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.30
$1.10
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.25
$3.65
- NO
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 53.3¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.45
$1.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$22.51Jul 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?$1.23Jun 5, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?$14.90Jun 5, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMOver $100M committed to the Printr public sale?$297.00Jun 1, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?$348.00Jun 1, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMOver $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$883.16Jun 1, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$1.3KJun 1, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMOver $15M committed to the Printr public sale?$1.7KJun 1, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?$2.5KJun 1, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMOver $10M committed to the Printr public sale?$3.0KJun 1, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$3.2KJun 1, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$9.99Jun 1, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 31, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$0.00May 31, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$0.00May 31, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$0.00May 31, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?$0.00May 31, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?$0.00May 31, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$190.00May 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?$111.00May 30, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $33.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.